Believe it or not, the Mets aren’t out of the Pennant Chase

Posted: September 10, 2014 in News, Opinion
Tags:

By Steven Inmanlloyd

When Bud Selig put in the second wild card I don’t think he envisioned several average to below average teams competing for a playoff spot. Well that’s the 2014 NL Wild Card Race.

The Giants appear to be running away with the first wild card and still have aspirations on the NL West, They are a quality team but the teams below them in the wild card race are not. Believe it or not, the Mets are not out of the wild card race.

The Mets are 5.5 games out of the second wild card with 17 games to go. Yes that lucky 17 games to go always seems to find the Mets like in 2007 and 2008.

The issue is there are four teams ahead of them in the wild card race and the Mets just lost David Wright for the year Tuesday.

That being said the four teams ahead of the Mets also all stink. Let’s go over why.

Pittsburgh Pirates– The Pirates just can’t seem to gain any ground and have been very up and down recently. The Pirates won four straight, then lost four straight, then won four straight again before losing last night. They are just very streaky because they don’t have the offense to pick up the slack. This is the team that is most likely to win the second wild card.

Atlanta Braves– The Braves have been awful recently as their offense is one-dimensional. Atlanta just don’t seem to win when they don’t him home runs. The Braves are 22-50 when they don’t homer this season. The Braves have lost six of their last eight and they are now closer to last place then first place. The Mets also see Atlanta again one more time in what actually could be the Mets first big series in Turner Field in September in a very, very long time. The Braves may clean house if they finish under .500. The Mets can definitely catch them with a strong finish.

Milwaukee Brewers– The Brewers were leading the Central all season and just imploded two weeks ago. The team was 1.5 games ahead of the Cardinals on August 26thand are now six games back of the Cardinals. The team has lost 13 of their last 14 games as their starters are 1-11 with a 6.69 ERA in that span. Ryan Braun isn’t hitting and is banged up, Carlos Gomez isn’t hitting and is banged up and the Brew Crew look done. They probably had their worst loss of the season last night and just look like they ran out of gas. The Mets can definitely catch them.

Miami Marlins– The Mets just saw the Marlins last week and took two out of three in South Beach. The game the Marlins won in that series when the Mets made six errors looms even larger now. This Marlin team is very mediocre, they have a fantastic outfield but they really just don’t have many strengths other than that. The pitching staff isn’t going to be able to carry this team over the other teams mentioned to erase their 3.5 game deficit. The Mets can definitely catch them with a strong finish.

NL Wild Card Teams

W

L

PCT

WCGB

WCE #

       

San Francisco

79

65

.549

+4.0

       

Pittsburgh

75

69

.521

       

Atlanta

74

71

.510

1.5

17

       

Milwaukee

74

71

.510

1.5

17

       

Miami

71

72

.497

3.5

16

       

NY Mets

70

75

.483

5.5

13

       

 

Are the Mets going to make the playoffs? Highly unlikely, but they have been playing much better and they have the pitching staff that could make a little noise down the stretch pass some of these fading teams. The question is going to be can they hit enough to go on some kind of run. The Amazin’s will have their work cut out for them with seven more games against the Nationals with just 17 to go but this could be the Mets first September where they aren’t just playing the string out. At the very least the Mets are trying to finish .500 or better for the first time since 2008. New York would have to finish 11-6 to finish .500.

When you see performances like Jacob deGrom’s Tuesday night and the offensive progression of Travis d’Arnaud it makes you think that the Mets are getting close to turning the corner. Now imagine what this deficit would be if this team had Matt Harvey this season.

What are your expectations for the Mets down the stretch??

Advertisements
Comments
  1. Mike Young says:

    Steve – Until the Nets are mathematically eliminated anything can happen. I would like to see them pass the Marlins and the Braves and finish second in the NL east. Now that would get some attention. The Nats series coming up looms large. If the Mets can win or even sweep the Nats then everyone should take them seriously as the season closes. Mike

    • Steven Inman says:

      With the Mets win Friday they have now tied the Marlins for 3rd place. With 14 games to go its extremely unlikely the Mets make a run at this wild card down 6.5 games but they can certainly pass the Braves for 2nd place with a strong finish

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s